The St. Louis Cardinals patience their way into prospects

Three months ago, the St. Louis Cardinals trading Jordan Hicks to the Toronto Blue Jays would have been inconceivable. Not because the Cardinals as sellers was inconceivable--the initial warning signs that the 2023 season would unfold as it has were already in place--but because Jordan Hicks still being on the Cardinals in July seemed impossible.…

How to “win” a trade

That advanced baseball statistical research allows us to quantify just about anything is both the greatest strength of the sabermetric movement and the aspect of it which gives us the falsest sense of security. Statistics are objective--even if they are complicated to a point of impenetrability to the casual fan, like WAR or wRC+ or…

Just how done are the 2023 Cardinals?

Before the 2023 season, FanGraphs projected that the St. Louis Cardinals would win the National League Central. And by and large, their projection systems still believe the Cardinals to be a pretty good team, fundamentally. A cursory glance at their current rest-of-season odds show that they believe the Cardinals are a 86.34 win team over…